The U.S. knows from its experience in defeating Germany, Japan, and the Asian Tigers that a decisive way to slow a competitors growth rate is to get it to reduce its level of investment. The problem for the U.S. is that it has no means to force China to reduce its level of investment.
The present global economic situation is largely defined by the by the extremely negative consequences of the U.S. stimulus programs.
These consequences are fully in line with economic theory.
Clarity on these economic issues is crucial.
US growth during the present business cycle is the slowest in any business cycle since World War II.
On Friday 2 February sharp turmoil, which had been building for some time, shook US financial markets.
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To assess the impact of the Trump tax cut on the US economy it is necessary to analyse the interrelation of two processes:
The determinants of US economic growth in the medium/long term,
The short-term position of the US economy in the current business cycle
The following article by John Ross, setting out the economic forces underpinning the current political crises in the US and Britain, was previously published here by Socialist Economic Bulletin.
Every day the media reports deepening political destabilisation gripping both major ‘Anglo Saxon’ countries – the US and UK. Most important for the world, of course, is US political instability where almost daily crises hit the Trump administration – resignation of the President’s Chief of Staff, sacking of the head of the FBI, public attacks by the President on members of his Cabinet, virulent public and even obscene denunciations by the President’s advisers of each other, numerous Congressional investigations, sensational leaks from inside the national security agencies the FBI and CIA, open campaigns by key mass media such as the New York Times and CNN to remove the President etc. This US domestic political instability is clearly tightly intertwined with crises and developments in world politics – US relations with Russia, US disputes over the Iran nuclear deal, differences over US policy to China etc.